Forex Daily Analysis - Currency Trading News 2012-01-31

The US stock market opened the trading week on a mixed territory but with strong signals for a positive continuation. The indices opened the trading day more than 0.5% but started rising after the first hour. Eventually, NASDAQ was the only major index to close in the positive territory.
AUD/USD
Since the Aussie broke through the resistance of the 200 SMA at 1.04, the Australian dollar gained almost 300 pips before it reached the resistance of the round number 1.07. The higher-lows pattern that occurred under the 200 SMA suggested that there was a strong pressure of buyers under these, and it was a great trade for those who implemented this trade idea. Now the price is close to the resistance in the daily chart at 1.075 and a strong break-out there will trigger many automatic orders that might launch the Aussie to the historical heights at 1.108. However, the pair is obviously overbought so it might correct down and retest the 200 SMA.

NZD/USD
The Kiwi is following its Australian neighbor as it also made an impressive break-up of the 200 SMA at 0.80. However, the bullish session started much sooner when the NZD broke-through the resistance at 0.78. Strong buyers entered the market during that break-up and lifted the pair up to its current levels at 0.82. The pair is now facing the resistance at 0.825, but an entry here, when the pair is overbought, is extremely dangerous. Opening a position in such extreme point is an opportunity for the pros to take advantage of the amateurs, and therefore it would be wisely to wait for correction down before opening a long position. Such a correction might occur if the price crosses below yesterday's bottom, and can reach Fibonacci 50% levels around the 200 SMA at 0.80.

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AUD/NZD
As we see many times, when two currencies are getting stronger against the USD, the cross of them does not show a clear trend.  The weekly chart shows that the level of 1.285 is a pivot point in an accurate triangle. The simultaneous pressure of both buyers and sellers creates this pattern, and stochastic high levels show that the pair might continue down from the current levels, though the direction might still change due to the strength of these two powerful currencies.

Risk Disclosure

Trading and the execution of transactions in currencies, commodities,CFD  indexes and other financial products with or without using  high financial leverage, is speculative trading of high risk and may cause substantial gain or loss proportional to the size of the collateral, up to the total loss of the collateral sum in a very short period. The fluctuation of the prices and rates in the currency markets, commodities, CFD ,indexes and other  financial derivatives are often volatile and there is no accurate   forecasting as per the size of the change, its direction and the time frame in which it occurs.You must consider carefully and seriously if this type of financial activity fits your needs, your financial resources and personal circumstances. Since the risk of losing some of the invested funds or all the funds in a relative short period is high; it is recommended that you use for that purpose funds which you designated for speculative financial transactions of high risk.

 You acknowledge and fully understand that there may be more and other risks which are not detailed or not cotained above