Showing posts with label EUR/JPY. Show all posts
Showing posts with label EUR/JPY. Show all posts

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Daily Analysis - Forex Currency Trading News 2012-02-03

The US stock market made another positive day yesterday as the investors were encouraged by the continuing claim data that showed a decline of 12K, whereas analysts expected a decline of 6K comparing to the previous week. However, today is main event as the Non-Farm payrolls change data & the unemployment rate will published one hour before the opening bell in Wall Street. This data is of the most important indicators of the US economy.
EUR/USD
The Euro is facing the resistance at 1.32 against the USD, and the fact that it is overbought reflects in that it did not rise yesterday, in spite the risings of the stock markets. This indicates that the EUR is close to the point in which it will make an aggressive correction, but the NFP data might push it up in spite all of that. A break-up of the support at 1.325 might lift the Euro up to 1.345-1.35, whereas a break-down of the support of the 20 EMA at 1.30 might cause the declines that the market expects.
EUR/JPY
The Yen keeps strengthening against the USD and it reached the strong support at 76.0. A break-down there might take the price down to the historical low at 75.5, but the Yen showed yesterday signals that the current session might over and the USD could correct.
The strengthening of the Yen is well shown against the EUR as well, but the EUR has corrected against the Yen since the middle of January. There is a possible bullish reversal on the daily chart, though the movement of the EUR depends on the NFP data today. Therefore, a break-up of 100.5-101 will be a strong signal for the EUR and it might jump to 102 and a break-down of the 3-days low at 99.0 might pull the price down to 97.0 again.
EUR/CAD
The CAD has been strengthening against the EUR for several months, but the European currency started corrected against the CAD on the previous months, just as it did against the other major currencies. A bullish reversal appears on here as well, as the pair is supported by the 38% Fibonacci level, at 1.31. A break-up of yesterday's high might take it up to the recent pick at 1.325, but a break-down of the support might push the price downwards to 1.30.

Risk Disclosure
Trading and the execution of transactions in currencies, commodities,CFD  indexes and other financial products with or without using  high financial leverage, is speculative trading of high risk and may cause substantial gain or loss proportional to the size of the collateral, up to the total loss of the collateral sum in a very short period. The fluctuation of the prices and rates in the currency markets, commodities, CFD ,indexes and other  financial derivatives are often volatile and there is no accurate   forecasting as per the size of the change, its direction and the time frame in which it occurs.You must consider carefully and seriously if this type of financial activity fits your needs, your financial resources and personal circumstances. Since the risk of losing some of the invested funds or all the funds in a relative short period is high; it is recommended that you use for that purpose funds which you designated for speculative financial transactions of high risk.
 You acknowledge and fully understand that there may be more and other risks which are not detailed or not cotained above

Sunday, January 8, 2012

EUR/JPY: Weekly Technical Levels for January 9 - 13, 2012.


Weekly Technical Levels:






Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are good indication for the maximum range for extremely volatile days but can be exceeded occasionally.
Pivot lines work well in sideways markets as prices will most likely range between the R1 and S1 line.
In a strong trend, price will be low through a pivot point line and keep going.
If there is significant news to influence the market price may go straight through R1 or S1 and reach even R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.


Time Frame: H1.





Drag your Fibonacci retracement levels from the lower to the higher of the last week (It has 120 candles, as you know each candle is formed in 1 hour on H1 chart, then: (120 candles * 1 hour) / 24 hours = 5 days from 2nd of December to 6th of December, 2012) in order to determine low and high price.
Average = (Higher - Lower) / 2
Average = 99.27
  • Range was: 281 pips.
  • The value of 50% Fibonacci retracement levels is: 99.27.
  • 102.42 will be formed a strong resistance.
  • 95.15 will be formed a strong support.
  • Volatility is 2789.62 so the market has called for a high volatile.
  • It should be noted that the price has still been trapped between 100.70 and 97.10. Aswell the weekly pivot point equal the 38.2% of Fibonacci retracement levels.


Observation (s):

  • If the strength of the trend for pair is an uptrend, then the strength of the currency: EUR is an uptrend and JPY is a downtrend.
  • Most of traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance.
  • Volatility Formulas: Variation = Average * (Higher - Lower).